CHESSNOID

I know it may seem like a foregone conclusion that Obama has won this election.  At least by the way the media has covered it.  I try to remain a critical thinker and feel that the coverage is definitely too one-sided.  I went to the Confluence which is a well written PUMA site.  In her last post:  Politics Make for Strange Bedfellows! She had a few links that I clicked on and read, and after I read them it gave me pause.  I really wonder how many PUMA members exist. I wonder how strong the Republican party voters will come in to possibly win this election.

One of the odd things about the Obama campaign was the infomercial overkill.  He spent a ton of money to try to get the last votes and tugged on the emotions of Americans  with the sad stories.  He still hasn’t explained how he will get these people real help.  I know the rhetoric from every candidate of lower taxes and create new jobs.   Independent organizations have already analyzed his pitched plan and it doesn’t translate to lower taxes or more jobs.

Anyways back to the election,  I am completely surprised this isn’t a landslide in the polls.  After 8 failed years of the Bush administration, any democrat running for office should be winning every state by a landslide.  I don’t believe in the polls and there are reasons why they may not be accurate.

Faith in inaccurate polls could undo Democrat:

Still, there appears to be an undercurrent of worry among some polling professionals and academics. One reason is the wide variation in Obama leads: on Tuesday, an array of polls showed the Democrat leading by as little as 2 points and as much as 15 points. The latest poll conducted by Washington Post-ABC News showed the race holding steady, with Senator Obama enjoying a lead of 52 per cent to 45 per cent among voters.

Some in the McCain camp argue that the polls showing the largest leads for Senator Obama mistakenly assume that turnout among young voters and blacks will be disproportionately high. “I have been wondering for weeks” whether the polls are accurate, said Steven Schier, a political scientist at Carleton College in Minnesota. Borrowing from language popularised by the former defence secretary Donald Rumsfeld, Professor Schier asked about the “unknown unknowns” about polling this year.

For instance, a sizeable number of people who do not respond to pollsters could be more Republican-leaning this year, perhaps because they do not want to admit to a pollster they are not supporting the “voguish” Senator Obama.

The McCain campaign’s case that the race is closer than many polls suggest appears to rest largely on the proposition that the composition of the electorate this year closely resembles that in 2004.

McCain pollsters expect turnout could be even higher this year than the robust turnout four years ago, but they also expect that Democratic gains among black voters and younger voters will be offset by a higher turnout by Republican voters.

There is definitely something weird about this election. The media seems to be such a suck up to the Obama campaign and really has ignored all the issues that surround him. There are many questionable relationships if you just look at all his associations. I don’t understand why they are discounted and dismissed when many of those stories are true. One of the things that didn’t ring true for me is when Obama tried to distant himself from his reverend of 20 years. He claimed he never heard any of “those” sermons and didn’t share his racist views. In my line of work, you know when a man is lying or bending the truth. This is similar to a man getting caught with another woman while in the act by his spouse, and the first words out of his mouth are Homer’s “it wasn’t me”. There are a ton of other associations that have come about but not covered by the press.

I see all the Obama crowds but they never show the McCain crowds.  They do exist.  Here is one with Arnold and I didn’t see it on TV. Why didn’t the media cover it?  There are definitely a few thousand people there.

This feeling I have is the same feeling of when the media went on a blitz with the Bush administration and pushing for the war in Iraq and the assertions of WMDs. I didn’t like it then and I don’t like it now. This is certainly a de ja vu feeling for me. I have a feeling the truth is being suppressed again and that this election is closer than what the media is reporting. On Tuesday, I guess we will all find out who wins.