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FICO on Credit Card Limit Reductions (It’s Not You, It’s Me)

Posted on Sep 15, 2009 by CHESSNOID in American Express, Credit Card, Credit cards, Economy, FICO, Recession | 0 Comments

It’s funny that most credit card companies have been mailing out cancellation notices or credit limit reduction letters explaining a change on your credit report has occurred that has caused them to take that action against you.  What they don’t tell you is the action that triggered a possible change in your FICO score is them cancelling your credit card or reducing your credit limit.

It’s Not You, It’s Me

These actions by the banks and credit card companies have nothing to do with your personal situation.  You still work at the same place, make the same amount of money, and have never ever paid them late.. so what gives.  Simply, the bank and credit card companies are taking preemptive action against any future possible losses they could incur.

FICO:

FICO found that available revolving credit had been reduced for an estimated 33 million U.S. card holders between October 2008 and April 2009, up from an estimated 25 million card holders between April 2008 and October 2008. Of those 33 million card holders, the researchers found that credit reports for nearly nine million contained recent negative credit references such as reported late payments. Such “risk triggers” may have prompted lenders to reduce those customers’ card limits.

For the bulk of its study, FICO focused on the estimated 24 million consumers whose credit card limits were reduced despite the absence of any new risk triggers in their credit reports during the study period. The researchers found that:

* Card holders in this group had a median FICO credit score of 760, on the scoring model’s 300-850® score range.
* The average reduction in credit limit was found to be $5,100, more than double the reduction that FICO observed for comparable consumers six months earlier. However, $5,100 was only 14 percent of this population’s average total revolving credit.
* Credit reports for these consumers generally contained very low account balances, low limit-to-balance or “credit utilization” ratios, very few if any reports of missed payments, and a long credit history.
* Reductions in card limits were found to have negligible impact on the FICO scores of most consumers in this group. Once their available revolving credit had been reduced, FICO observed a drop in score for only a third of the people in this group, an estimated 8.5 million consumers, with the typical score drop well under 20 points.
* Of the remaining 15.5 million consumers, the company found that an estimated 3.5 million had no appreciable change in FICO score, and scores for the remaining 12 million consumers actually increased after their credit line had been lowered.

The study also found that credit limits and account balances continue to be significant factors in the prediction of credit risk for the general population. Consumers who use 70 percent or more of their available revolving credit were found to be 20 to 50 times more likely to become delinquent on a credit obligation within the next two years, compared to consumers who use less than 10 percent of their available credit.

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